for all of you logic fan out there... lets look at this conundrum, right.
so yea, let's just say in this world, eventually we will find out whether there is a God or not. which means there are in the end two ultimate probable scenarios, God, or no God. hence let's just assign a 50 : 50 probability to both scenarios; one being "there is a god" the other being "there is no god".
so right, let's explore it further where if there is a God, hence heaven and hell exist while in a world where God does not exist, everyone will sort of turn to dust when they pass on. so we break it down further into the God scenario of heaven and hell or the no God scenario where you turn to dust.
right! so based on binomial path, probability of heaven occuring in this scenario is about 25%, 25% hell and 50% turning to dust summarised in a tacky diagram below courtesy of my graphic designer(sorry it was hard to explain how to draw binomial path over the phone)
so here is the conundrum, knowing that there is a 25% chance that there is an eternal heaven compared to the other two options of eternal condemnation or futility... using pure logic which path would you take?
of course, a logic process entails asking what you need to give up to choose that 25% chance of a heaven existing. in this case the answer is most of the time submitting to a religion. that is what you need to pay.
so yea, back to the question... will you give it a shot?
if you think about it for a second, weighing the odds, for a believer if God does not exist, he'll turn to dust anyway similarly to a non believer, but if God exist then perhaps you'll end up in heaven. so the opportunity cost is... perhaps missing on all the fun things you should have done like i don't know, raping a monkey for instance.
so... using logic, the path conundrum, which one?